2026 MLB Odds: Who Will Lead MLB in Home Runs? Trout Surging After Yankees Series

Home runs have made a comeback. Consider this: after a 20-year stretch from 2002 to 2021 without a single 60-home-run season, we’ve now seen two in just the past four years. And the 2026 MLB season is off to a powerful start as well. Through the first three weeks, 11 players have hit at least six home runs, while 27 have already reached five or more. Jordan Walker is currently tied for the MLB home run lead at eight with preseason favorite Aaron Judge. This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports. While there are plenty of big names on the early-season home run leaderboard, one name stands out. Three-time MVP Mike Trout is quickly climbing up the ranks. Over his last four games against the Yankees, Trout has mashed five home runs. He became the first visiting player ever to homer in all four games of a series at Yankee Stadium, and he also tied the record for most home runs by a visiting player in a single series. Let’s check out the odds for who will lead MLB in home runs this season at Fanduel Sportsbook as of April 16. Most regular-season home runs Aaron Judge: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)Kyle Schwarber: +410 (bet $10 to win $51 total)Shohei Ohtani: +550 (bet $10 to win $65 total)Yordan Alvarez: +1500 (bet $10 to win $160 total)Mike Trout: +1500 (bet $10 to win $160 total)Matt Olson: +2700 (bet $10 to win $280 total)James Wood: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310)Nick Kurtz: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)Munetaka Murakami: +5500 (bet $10 to win $560)Jordan Walker: +5500 (bet $10 to win $560) Shea Langeliers: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610) Corey Seager: +6500 (bet $10 to win $660) Here’s what to know about the oddsboard: The Favorite: Is there really any surprise here? New York’s Aaron Judge has led MLB in home runs three times in his career, including twice since 2022. He set an AL record with 62 home runs in 2022, followed by an injury-shortened 2023 season in which he still hit 37 in 106 games. He then led the sport with 58 in 2024, and last season finished with 53, the fourth-highest total in the majors. After opening the season as the +350 favorite, he is now the odds-on favorite at +100 to lead the league in homers. Long-Shot in the Running: At 34 years old, Trout opened the 2026 MLB season with preseason odds of +8000 to lead the major leagues in home runs. That number has jumped to +1500 after his Yankees series, as he’s opened the first three weeks of the season with seven home runs, tied for third in MLB. In his career, Mike Trout has hit 411 home runs, but he has never led MLB in homers in a single season. His highest yearly total came in 2019, when he hit 45, finishing behind Pete Alonso (53) for the MLB lead and Jorge Soler (48) for the AL lead. Injuries have been the main factor holding him back as Trout has played more than 100 games just twice since 2020. His career high for home runs in the month of April is nine, and after his recent power surge against the Yankees, he has a strong chance to surpass that mark.